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Arden_White mihi - I have a more general question as well. If machines are not able to update to the new certificates at all, how will this affect the installation of future Windows feature updates?
On all of my machines (both the Dell machines that seem to be able to get the partial 2023 cert updates and the HP z840 that seem to not be able to get anything related to the 2023 certs), I've been able to upgrade to the latest feature updates using the AllowUpgradesWithUnsupportedTPMOrCPU registry hack. Is there any reason to believe, based on current knowledge, that future feature upgrades might be blocked on these machines as a result of the 2011 cert expiration?
I'd say it is likely that some of these unsupported upgrade scenarios will prevent you to install a future Windows update, but I believe it is unlikely that this will happen based on whether your Secure Boot certificates are current or not.