useruk1, I had a look at the Azure Pricing Calculator for the D4s v3 size and the PAYG price for that size (no OS license included) in UK West/South is £0.182/hour (~£133/month or ~£1594/year). The value you shared above is probably with the Windows OS license included, but Azure Reservations do not cover the Windows license - you should always compare Reservations prices with Linux (or no license included) PAYG prices.
Having said that, the 1 year Reservation price for the same VM/region is £0.116/hour (~£85/month or ~£1016/year), which represents 37% savings compared to the retail PAYG price. Therefore, the break even point in months would normally be £1016/133 = 7.64 months.
However, as you said before that you have a 6% discount in your EA, your PAYG price should be £125/month. With this, the break even point in months should be £1016/125 = 8.13 months.