For those that may stumble across this in the future.
When you renew the Microsoft Exchange Auth Certificate as per this article:http:// https://docs.microsoft.com/en-us/exchange/troubleshoot/administration/cannot-access-owa-or-ecp-if-oauth-expired
The steps include setting a -NewCertificateEffectiveDate for the certificate.
Set-AuthConfig -NewCertificateThumbprint <ThumbprintFromStep1> -NewCertificateEffectiveDate (Get-Date)
You can view the output of this command in the MSExchange Management event log to confirm what the NewCertificateEffectiveDate is which has been set.
Reviewing the date/time against the changes in Get-Authconfig and reviewing the certificate validity period "NotAfter" and "NotBefore" all matched the actual dates/times the changes were made.
There's possibly a bug with how the -NewCertificateEffectiveDate is applied.
After creating the Cert we waited an hour and still had no ECP/OWA access. Event logs 1309 and 1003 continued to be generated on each attempt to access the ECP.
Our Exchange Server time zone is NZDT so UTC +13.
At 8:04:05pm 2nd October NZDT (the Exchange servers time zone), we ran the Set-AuthConfig -NewCertificateThumbprint <ThumbprintFromStep1> -NewCertificateEffectiveDate and set a date/time of "2/10/2021 7:04:05 AM" - this effective date was 13 hours in the past, the certificate should be immediately effective.
13 hours later at 3rd October 9:04:05am NZDT, being 2nd October 8:05pm UTC actual time the certificate became useable, ECP/OWA access was available.
Looks to be a bug or undocumented. This also looks to explain why some people have reported +1 to +4 hours for the renewed certificate to become effective. Different timezones, different effective dates/time for the certificate.