JeremyTBradshaw , seems you are talking about different certificates / things here.
This article is related to the Token Signing Certificates in Office 365 / Microsoft Federation Gateway platform, certificate which is renewed every six weeks by Microsoft, issuer being "Live ID STS Signing Public Key". This certificate you find it in Get-FederationTrust |FL Token*Certificate. Microsoft uses this certificate to sign Delegated Tokens for Exchange Organization federated with MFG.
The one mentioned by you where you have to renew / replace in a Federation Trust is the OrgCertificate in Get-FederationTrust this one has a validity of 5 years. This is a self signed certificate that the on-premises exchange server is issuing and assigned to the Federation Trust. This one you can find it in Get-ExchangeCertificate | where {$_.Services -like "*F*"} and it is on Get-FederationTrust | fl Org*certificate